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The Russian General Staff acknowledged the possibility of a covert nuclear strike by the United States and the high probability of interception of missile defense missiles. The US military has sufficient potential to intercept Russian and Chinese ballistic missiles, according to the Russian General Staff, which poses a threat to the strategic forces of Moscow and Beijing.
As stated on Wednesday during the VI Moscow international conference Deputy Chief of the Main Operational Directorate of the General Staff of the RF Armed Forces Viktor Poznikhir, the United States is creating systems that will allow delivering a high-precision strike from orbit against command posts of the Russian Federation, in the future these capabilities will increase.
Also, according to the deputy head of the General Staff, Washington has every opportunity to deliver a covert nuclear strike against Russia. As clarified in the military leadership, this is indicated by American missile defense bases located in Europe.
Speaking about a covert nuclear strike on Russia, Viktor Poznikhir, Deputy Chief of the Main Operational Directorate of the General Staff of the Russian Armed Forces, could have in mind the possibility of the United States to put in launchers instead of anti-missiles cruise missiles with nuclear warheads.
In turn, the Russian military will consider the American missile defense system as a means to shoot down ballistic missiles from space, but in practice everything will look different.
And given that NATO troops are stationed at the Russian borders, the Americans are theoretically capable of firing their cruise missiles on Russian territory, right up to the Urals.
At the 6th Moscow International Security Conference held the day before, Viktor Poznikhir, a representative of the General Staff of the Russian Armed Forces, presented the results of a computer simulation of the operation of US missile defense systems during their interception.
In addition, he hi technical capabilities launchers antimissiles that are being deployed in Poland and Romania and on missile defense ships.
Based on all these data and estimates, technical conclusions were drawn: what in the short term American system Missile defense will be able to intercept not only missiles North Korea and Iran, as it was announced a few years ago, but also the Russian Federation and China, which will start in the northern and northeastern directions.
American radar stations that will be located in Poland, Romania, South Korea and on the maritime component east direction, are able to detect the launch and flight path of Russian ballistic and cruise missiles from almost the entire territory of the Russian Federation.
However, this does not mean that missiles can be physically destroyed at such distances and with the available capabilities, the head explained. anti-aircraft missile troops Special Forces Command of the Russian Air Force (2007-2009) Sergey Khatylev. The MK-41 launchers deployed in Romania and Poland and possibly in South Korea are capable of launching nuclear cruise missiles.
Earlier, Russian President Vladimir Putin has repeatedly stated that the American missile defense system is not defensive, but offensive. Objects may be the strategic nuclear forces of the Russian Federation: an attack on the bases of Intercontinental ballistic missiles (ICBMs) will carry a counterforce strike, and a strike with cruise missiles on control points will decapitate the entire system nuclear shield countries.
“Today's US missile defense capabilities to intercept Russian and Chinese missiles are limited, because it is extremely difficult to physically implement this.
However, in the future, this situation may change, because it cannot be ruled out that the United States, under various pretexts, will upgrade existing mobile systems, but this will take some time, and such tests cannot be carried out covertly.
Today, US missile defense, as the US military themselves say, decides strategic issues, that is, the system is opposed to Russian strategic nuclear forces.
However, when using cruise missiles, the Americans will be able to solve operational and tactical issues in a certain area of operations. Therefore, today such a threat to the Russian Federation really exists, but it is up to specialists in air defense and missile defense to specifically calculate all the details, and intelligence, to get necessary information", - explained the military expert.
According to Frants Klintsevich, First Deputy Chairman of the Federation Council Committee on Defense and Security, the warning of the Russian General Staff that the United States has every opportunity to deliver a covert nuclear strike against our country is a signal to the American leadership that Russian government ready for any development.
Despite the fact that Russian experts have studied the characteristics American missiles Tomahawk, they have yet to digitally calculate the effectiveness of these cruise missiles when used in a specific area of the territory. It is worth recalling the situation when out of 59 Tomahawk missiles, only 23 missiles flew to the Syrian Shayrat airbase.
Despite the fact that the Ministry of Defense of the Russian Federation denies any involvement in the disappearance of missiles, many military experts agree that the reason for this was the electronic suppression of high-precision weapons. According to Russian estimates, by 2022 the number of missiles of the US missile defense system will be more than a thousand units.
Since the beginning of this year, the United States has begun deploying its THAAD missile defense systems in South Korea. The system will be put into operation "in the coming days." “No one knows the effectiveness of the American missile defense system to the end, so if the Americans shoot down three missiles out of 10 launched Russian ICBMs from a Russian nuclear submarine, which is in a combat position, at a distance of up to a thousand kilometers from the United States, then the rest will definitely reach the United States.
In addition, the latest complex electronic warfare(EW), which is being put into operation this year, further reduces the capabilities of the American missile defense system, ”said Sergey Khatylev.
As specified in the United Instrument-Making Corporation (OPK), which developed the latest electronic warfare complex, which will compete with analogues from the USA, Great Britain, France and Israel, the name the newest complex"it is unlikely to appear in the press in the near future", but they specified that the system was created using modern advances in microelectronics, processor technology and software.
Today, perhaps, only two countries in the world have high-precision cruise missiles - the United States with its Tomahawk and Russia with the Caliber.
In general, they belong to the same class missile weapons. In October 2015, ships of the Russian navy For the first time, Caliber cruise missiles were used in a real combat operation during the Syrian operation against militants, which caused a real sensation.
At present, almost all the latest surface ships and submarines have become carriers of the Kalibr family of missiles. Russian fleet. For the first time, American Tomahawks were used in real combat conditions during the Gulf War.
In total, American naval forces used 288 of these missiles. Most of them flew to their targets, but some of the missiles were lost for technical reasons or shot down by enemy air defenses.
In subsequent operations, the Americans also used this precision weapons, however, there were cases when the cathode of the rocket deviated from the target, or did not reach at all. A large number of modifications missile systems, both Russian and foreign, have the ability to carry nuclear charges.
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America already wanted to launch nuclear strikes on the USSR several times:
Operation Dropshot 1949. Planned to start the bombing on January 1, 1957. By this time, the USSR had enough of its own atomic bombs.
Bombardment Soviet troops in Cuba 1962. America did not want to bomb under its nose. And look a year later, exactly one day on the day the Caribbean crisis ended, Kennedy died, and a year later Khrushchev was sent into retirement. In other words, whoever had more responsibility received a bullet, whoever had less - a pension.
They will not be allowed to do this by the owners of the US Federal Reserve. And especially now. How can they risk their core business (printing world money-dollar) when there are examples in history of attacks on the USSR (now Russia). Hitler also thought that he had calculated everything and that in eight weeks the USSR should be finished. Here he got a hard bummer. In general, everyone knows the result of the Barbarossa plan.
And these world financiers will take it and begin to control not one issuing center, but several (although, according to my estimates, they already control the Russian Central Bank).
And if we assume that America really intends to strike at Russia, then, as ZUB rightly said, a GPS jammer is put in and the missiles become blind like kittens. And the preparations for this incident cannot be hidden from the world community (what kind of preparation is needed), the Russian special services, and even more so from people who print money and control a huge number of world media.
“The annexation of Russia is supposed to be divided into three parts: the western part goes to the European Union, the central part, Siberia, to the USA, the east to China. Something like this,” he said.
What can I say, America will get the Vietnam, Iraq and Afghan wars combined. And even then these three wars will show her only by roots, and sprouts and flowers will already be in Russia.
What do you think that America will be able to control such a vast territory, but then it will have to put its entire population under arms and send it to Siberia, and the Siberians (I myself live in Siberia) will show them guerrilla war years and even decades ahead. They will have to send resources by caravans, as they did during the Battle of the Atlantic, and put soldiers along the pipelines.
Some time ago (after the end of the active phase of the Second Iraqi Company) I saw a video clip on the Internet, which was filmed in Iraq. So here is the camera, was installed on sniper rifle with silencer. Hamer was standing on one of the streets of some Iraqi city, two American soldiers were standing near him. And this sniper took off first one, the other came up to see what happened to the first one, and also got a bullet. The Iraqi children ran not far, and they quickly realized what was happening, collected rifles, grenades and all the weapons of the killed American soldiers and quickly retreated. And Hamer remained standing in the middle of the street, unguarded by anyone, only two corpses nearby. And it was all on the video, the camera worked all the time, so there was no editing. And the history of the Hammer is not known, because. the video is over (maybe it was dismantled for metal, or maybe it was driven to the garage to use it against the Americans themselves.
So nothing good is expected in Iraq, and even more so in Afghanistan (there the Taliban trained on our soldiers during the Afghan war of 1979-1989). We are waiting for the withdrawal of American troops from these two states. And they won’t go to Siberia, so sleep well, the Americans still lacked Russia. They themselves will soon begin to have such a thing that it will be just right to bring in UN peacekeeping troops.
So everything will be fine. Sleep, eat, give birth and raise children and don't worry about anything.
Do you know why Obama was awarded Nobel Prize. Because it is a sacrificial animal. He will be responsible for what will happen to America during his reign, like our Gorbachev. And obviously not fun will happen, it can reach centrifugal processes. Remember how in April 2009 the governor of Texas said that his state could secede from the United States. And in America, nothing really started yet. And these are just the seeds of this process, the roots, stems, flowers and berries will be later. Let's look at this performance, it will be very interesting and instructive. And the award is compensation for moral costs, the same compensation as they gave Gorbachev in 1990. By the way, they were given the award in the same nomination - for peace. Don't you think this is strange?
Well, friends, I have to state that the pre-war rhetoric of our leaders has become routine and habitual and smoothly transformed into military rhetoric: Darkest, during yesterday's meeting "on the situation in the military-industrial complex of Russia and the development of the Armed Forces," stated the following:
"References to the Iranian and North Korean nuclear missile threats [as part of the creation of the US global missile defense system] only cover up the true plans, and their true goal is to neutralize Russia's strategic nuclear potential. And thus the desire to gain decisive military superiority with all the ensuing consequences" ( With)
Regarding the response to the aggressive actions of the United States, Putin spoke very clearly:
"We will also work on a missile defense system, but at the first stage we will work on strike systems that are able to overcome any missile defense systems" (c)
It would seem that nothing new, Putin has paid attention to this topic before, for example, at the Valdai Forum:
“Recently, the first US missile defense tests were carried out in Europe. What does this mean? We and the whole world were once again deceived: under the pretext of protecting Europe from the nuclear missile threat from Iran, the fundamental basis of modern international security, the Anti-Ballistic Missile Treaty, was destroyed. defense", from which the United States withdrew unilaterally. "(c)
An important addition. To realize the extreme importance of the topic, one must understand what global missile defense is in general, and what is the global missile defense "Aegis" in particular. I'll put the explanation under the spoiler, because it takes up a lot of space:
First, the theory.
The insoluble problem of creating a global missile defense system by one of the potential adversaries lies in the fact that, while protecting the territory of the state deploying the specified system ( groups of Mrs.), strategic missile defense paradoxically lowers the level of its (state) security, since it inevitably entails the possibility of an escalation-upgrade of any conflict to a nuclear war.
The mechanism of this paradox works as follows:
1. The missile defense system cannot be absolute: there is always a possibility that a certain number of warheads will overcome missile defense.
2. The fewer missiles launched by the enemy, the higher the effectiveness of missile defense.
3. Thus, in the event of a confrontation, the side that first created an effective missile defense system has an incentive to strike first and disable the maximum number of enemy missiles before they are launched.
4. A side that does not have anti-missile defense, but is aware of the enemy's existence of such, takes it into account in its plans and calculations.
5. The side that does not have a global missile defense system understands that the enemy (see paragraph 3) is tempted to strike first.
6. Accordingly, the side that does not have missile defense also has an incentive to strike first in order to get ahead of a possible preventive strike by the enemy.
7. As a result of this logical cycle, the likelihood of any conflict escalating to a global nuclear war is greatly increased due to mutual distrust and mutual fears of a first strike by the enemy.
8. Thus, the creation by one of the parties of the global missile defense system undermines the foundations of the doctrine of mutually assured destruction - deterrence from aggression by the realization that the attacked one will still be able to respond with a powerful nuclear strike.
Now the harsh reality:
Despite this mortal danger, the United States unilaterally withdrew from the "non-development of global missile defense agreement" and, at the moment, has actually built and deployed the global Aegis missile defense system.
What is the AEGIS global missile defense system?
The Aegis global missile defense system was designed and built (deployment and debugging of the system components is currently being completed) with one goal - to intercept Russian retaliatory ballistic missiles that were not destroyed by a US preventive nuclear strike, thereby making it impossible for the United States to inflict "unacceptable damage" on a US preventive nuclear strike. .
Again. Technical feature and the essence of the global Aegis missile defense system is that it will work effectively and successfully only in one case - when America launches a preventive nuclear strike against Russia.
The main part of the Aegis missile defense system is located on the warships of the US Navy.
Ticonderoga-class URO cruiser with Aegis anti-missiles on board:
More than 100 US Navy ships and their satellites are equipped with Aegis system components. For example, one cruiser URO type "Ticonderoga" has 120 cells for launching missiles (missile defense and others).
The naval component of missile defense is complemented by ground-based systems.
According to the "European missile defense plan", the first Aegis missile defense systems (Standard SM-3 Block IB antimissiles) will be deployed in Romania in the current 2015. The second complex, with advanced missiles, is planned to be deployed in Poland by 2018. Since January 2012, an American missile defense radar has already been operating in Turkey.
Important. Ground components of the Aegis missile defense system are a dual-purpose combat system: in addition to performing the declared "anti-missile tasks", it can be (and WILL be) used as a high-precision weapon for delivering a first strike on the territory of the European part of Russia, the missile's flight time to Moscow is 10 minutes.
Thus, by 2018 the Aegis system will be deployed in full, and the Evil Empire for some time (about 2 - 5 years, subject to the existing dynamics of financing and development of the military-industrial complex + Russian Armed Forces) will have a very great temptation to test its capabilities in real conditions ...
Conclusion.
Perhaps no one is aware, but all normal people who can analyze the situation and understand the signals very clearly - the deployment of the AJIS system, sooner or later, but inevitably, will lead the world to a global nuclear war, and the demonstrative tests of the AJIS system at our borders significantly shift the point of no return to side "early" ...
I hope now you, friends, realize why the Darkest One does not share the so-called. brainless jingoistic patriots that AEGIS is a meaningless, mock prodigy for sawing Amer's budget and why our President expresses serious concern about the US deployment of a global missile defense system ...
So, I return to yesterday's theses of Putin.
It's only at first glance that the Dark One didn't say anything new. In fact, unlike his previous general and, I'm not afraid to use the word, enlightening statements on this and related topics, this time the President SET A SPECIFIC TASK to his subordinates.
For those in the tank. I understand all these numerous signals and statements in such a way that for a long time ongoing "quiet" talks on US missile defense did not produce positive results, and Putin made some FINAL decision.
What can Russia oppose to the US global missile defense Aegis?
Of course, there is no analogue of such a system - this is impossible for many reasons.
The answer, without options, will be a quantitative build-up of hard-to-kill highly mobile ICBMs (Poplar, YARS, Rubezh, in the long term BZHRK "Barguzin", etc.) - this will keep hot Washington heads in the cold.
And this means that the carefully hushed term "arms race" is once again relevant to us. And, which is typical, we, as has already happened in recent history, once again have no money for the "arms race".
Therefore, I am afraid that by the time the Aegis system and other American nishtyaks are fully deployed, the mentioned means of our retaliatory strike will not be produced and placed on the database enough to cause "unacceptable damage" to the United States, which attacked us according to their favorite concept of "disarming strike".
Therefore what? Therefore, logically, we (without waiting for the complete depletion of our resources) may well be the first to launch a nuclear strike on the United States, which will negate all the advantages gained by the United States through the deployment of Aegis missile defense system, because this system is expected to work well only in the event of a strike on Russia "disarming strike". If anything, our new military doctrine provides for such a development of events.
Just do not, calming yourself, squeal and yell that "this is impossible, and we will never do this."
The logic of war, friends, often dictates very cruel and unpopular decisions.
Believe me: no one will sit on their ass evenly and indifferently watch how "grinning, approaching you with knives" (c).
Putin is definitely not going to sit...
So, friends, you can, of course, persuade yourself and pray that everything will be fine. But, the harsh reality dictates: it is better not to relax and prepare for a nuclear cataclysm.
PS. To be honest, I don’t understand the delight of Russia’s enemies about all these really deadly maneuvers by the United States - after all, our enemies mainly live in Europe, and the AEGIS missile defense system, despite assurances of “European security”, is focused exclusively on protecting the United States, certainly not not Europe. Europe, with a nuclear batch, will be burned to the ground, despite the missile defense points ...
So, friends, the password is the same: we hope for the best, we prepare for the worst.
Everyone has probably heard about the retaliation system in the event of a nuclear apocalypse, Perimeter, that it was created in 1985, deactivated in 1995, and again put on combat duty by the Strategic Missile Forces of the RF Ministry of Defense in 2011?
And that it is considered one of the main deterrents to the outbreak of the Third World War?
And also about the fact that the US considers the Perimeter "immoral" and calls it the "Dead Hand"?
All this is not new, it is curious that yesterday, 08/21/17, RIA Novosti found it necessary to publish lengthy material about this system, tying it to the 60th anniversary of the first launch of the R-7 ICBM ...
Reading and drawing conclusions
"Perimeter": how the Russian system of retaliatory nuclear strike works
On this day 60 years ago, the world's first intercontinental ballistic missile R-7 was launched from the Baikonur Cosmodrome.
The task was not an easy one. The creators of the R-7 fulfilled the planned flight plan from the third launch - on August 21, 1957, the rocket covered a distance of 5600 kilometers and brought the warhead to the Kura test site. Six days later, the USSR officially announced that it had an intercontinental ballistic missile (ICBM) - a year earlier than the United States.
Thus, our country has dramatically increased the perimeter national security, but did not stop there. intercontinental missiles flew farther and carried more and more nuclear warheads. Today the most powerful ICBM R-36M2 "Voevoda" capable of carrying 10 warheads with a capacity of 170 kilotons at a distance of up to 15 thousand kilometers.
Improved algorithms combat use ICBM. Patriotic system nuclear deterrence, which combines carriers on land, at sea and in the air, has become many times more complicated. It has a large margin of safety, guarantees the destruction of the aggressor in any situation.
Russia is capable of delivering a retaliatory nuclear strike even in the event of the death of the country's top leadership. To do this, she spread her wings over Russian open spaces the Perimeter system, which worries our "partners" very much.Moreover, in NATO, the high stability of Russia's nuclear shield (or sword) is considered defiantly immoral.
Necessary measure
With the development of nuclear weapons of enormous power, the principles of global warfare have changed. Now one missile is capable of destroying the most protected command center or bunker with the highest leadership of the enemy. Here it is necessary to keep in mind, first of all, the American doctrine of the "decapitation strike."
Unknown photographer of the USSR Ministry of Defense
Command missile 15A11 system "Perimeter"
"Perimeter" is a parallel and alternative command system of the Russian Strategic Nuclear Forces, secretive, well-protected and trouble-free.
How does it work?
During combat duty, stationary and mobile control centers on a vast territory constantly assess seismic activity, radiation levels, air pressure and temperature, control military frequencies, record the intensity of negotiations, monitor the data of the missile attack warning system.
Point sources of powerful electromagnetic and ionizing radiation are monitored, coinciding with seismic disturbances (certificate nuclear strikes). After analyzing this and many other data, the system can autonomously decide on a retaliatory nuclear strike (of course, the top officials of the state can also activate the combat mode).
Having discovered signs of a nuclear strike, "Perimeter" sends a request to the General Staff. Having received a certain (soothing) answer, he returns to the state of situation analysis. If communication with the General Staff is not established (a technical failure is excluded), "Perimeter" immediately accesses the control system strategic missiles"Kazbek".
Having not received an answer here either, the autonomous control and command system (software complex based on artificial intelligence) independently makes a decision on a retaliatory nuclear strike. She is able to unmistakably "understand" that her time has come.
Note that there is no way to neutralize, disable or destroy the "Perimeter", because it was created to work under the conditions of "applied Armageddon".In the event of damage to the main communication lines (or blockage of their electronic warfare systems enemy) the system launches command ballistic control missiles, which will transmit the starting impulse directly to the Strategic Missile Forces silos, submarines and other complexes for a nuclear response that have survived after the enemy’s strike without the participation of highermilitary command . It is no coincidence that Western military analysts called this system "Dead hand" (Dead hand).
RIA Novosti https://ria.ru/analytics/20170821/1500527559.html
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And here is an analytical article by a military expert dated 05/08/17 about options developments involving the Perimeter -
Armageddon in favor of third parties
"Peacekeepers" brought the case to nuclear war
For Russia, options for a nuclear conflict can be bad and worst, for the United States, all scenarios are fatal. In any case, other countries will take the lead. It is time for the global and American elites to think about whether it is worth making their place under the sun for strangers.
The British Minister of Defense said that the country could go for the use of strategic nuclear weapons (there is no other at London's disposal) "in emergency cases”, even if there is no threat to the territory of the state itself. Such a vague wording allows you to press the "red button" in any crisis situation. The President of the United States promised to apply atomic weapon against the DPRK if that country continues its nuclear program.
In fact, the leaders of the leading Western countries stated the transition to a qualitatively new stage of expansion: having failed in their attempts to restore hegemony using the “rough” (the use of the American army by Clinton and Bush, contrary to all norms international law) and soft power (Obama's Arab Spring and subsequent events in the Middle East region), they announce their determination to reshape the world in their favor. And we are ready to lay out the last trump card.
Former US President Obama ensured the modernization of the American nuclear shield for a successful counterforce ("disarming") and "decapitation" strike against Russia and China. This became achievable after the renewal of American nuclear blocks for the Trident SLBM. Their capabilities of point destruction of especially protected objects have qualitatively increased. This makes the preventive destruction of the main part of the Russian nuclear potential real.
The essence of modernization is equipping warheads W76-1 / Mk4 of sea-based ballistic missiles "Trident" II D5 with new fuses MS4700 - individual targeting units with a TNT equivalent of about 100 kilotons. One warhead rockets can be equipped with ten such blocks. The MC4700 allows you to compensate for the flight relative to the target by detonating earlier over the point of impact. The miss value is estimated at an altitude of 60-80 km based on a comparison of the actual position of the warhead and its trajectory with the designated location. Based on this, adjustments are made. According to the calculations of American specialists, this will increase the probability of hitting Russian silo launchers to 0.86-0.99, from which it is concluded that the United States got the opportunity to destroy all Russian silo installations with the consumption of 272 such units out of 506 available. At the same time, there are still 384 blocks of 455 kilotons, in the future they can be used to destroy strategic objects buried in the rocks or destroy Russian cities. Noting the problems we have with the PRN (anti-missile surveillance) system, which after the collapse of the USSR does not provide the necessary depth and reliability of control of missile launches in all strategically dangerous directions, the Americans state that a situation has developed that allows the United States to destroy the vast majority of the potential of the strategic nuclear forces of the Russian Federation with a preventive nuclear strike.
Consideration should also be given to the adopted tactical aviation US and NATO nuclear bombs B61-12, with high hit accuracy. According to experts, the probable deviation from the aiming point should not exceed the indicators typical for conventional WTO systems. The F-16 and Tornado fighters of the Air Forces of five NATO countries: Belgium, Germany, Italy, the Netherlands, and Turkey are additionally equipped to use these bombs. The same is installed on all F-35 fighters entering service.
Accuracy is not needed for area strikes, which means that tactical aviation is also preparing to participate in a counterforce and "decapitation" strike. And from the Baltic and Norwegian airfields, NATO front-line aviation is able to get highly protected objects of Russian strategic nuclear forces in a large area of the European part of the country, including the bases of our submarines with ICBMs.
It should be noted that under the guise of a missile defense system, the Mk-41 UVPs are deployed near the borders of the Russian Federation, which allow the use of the Tomahawk missile launcher in nuclear equipment. With a range of more than 3000 km, the missiles can hit highly protected targets throughout European Russia with high accuracy. But it's not just about these UVPs. The total capacity of sea carriers of "Tomahawks" with nuclear weapons in the US Navy exceeded several thousand. So the Americans will be able to deliver high-precision nuclear strikes, figuratively speaking, from Kaliningrad to Vladivostok. And we must remember that there are gaps in the radar field of the air defense system of the Russian Federation at low and extremely low altitudes, especially in the northern strategic direction (thanks to the "reformers" of the 90s and 2000s). 15 AWACS A-50 aircraft cannot cover them.
Just "nuclear autumn"
Today, the US has 1,367 warheads on strategic launchers. And the total nuclear arsenal of the country is estimated at about 5,000 warheads. Even its full application will not lead to a "nuclear" winter. This is also recognized by foreign experts. In their estimates, they indicate that the defeat of the territory of Russia 1200-1400 nuclear blocks will cause only a local decrease average temperature by 1-2 degrees. That is, the achievement of victory in a war is recognized, and hence the admissibility of its unleashing and waging under conditions when other types of weapons have not yielded results.
How can one not recall the "peacekeepers" who sought deep reductions in the nuclear potentials of the Russian Federation and the United States. It was they who created the opportunity to start a nuclear war, from their suggestion it acquired a political and military-strategic meaning. Earlier, when the potentials of the parties in terms of the total power of nuclear warheads exceeded the current ones by 20-30 times, it made no sense to arrange Armageddon. Today, an atomic strike on peaceful cities can become a reality. It is impossible to call the activity of "peacekeepers" otherwise than a crime against humanity. They did it out of stupidity or malicious intent, it does not matter.
We must also remember that the United States has a huge arsenal of conventionally equipped strategic-range WTOs. SLCMs in service with the US Navy, having a firing range of up to 1,600 km (according to other sources, up to 2,400 km), ensure the defeat of a 340-450 kg warhead target with a CEP of 5-10 meters. The Americans can use these missiles from all modern ships and submarines. KR carriers are capable of launching up to 4,200 missiles in one strike. This, according to American military experts, is enough to deprive a large state of the ability to resist in 6 hours, inflicting unacceptable losses on the economy. If we are talking about the defeat of the Russian nuclear potential, such a strike, presumably, is capable of almost completely destroying the ground component of the Russian anti-missile surveillance system (PRN), demolishing a significant part of the strategic nuclear forces communications networks, especially those providing signal delivery combat control on SSBNs, destroy three strategic air bases with the destruction of most of the aircraft.
Swing "Tomahawks"
We state: having decided on a counterforce preventive strike using a long-range HTO, the aforementioned 272 100-kiloton caliber warheads from missile submarines, 200-300 nuclear warheads from strategic and tactical aviation aircraft, as well as Tomahawk nuclear missile launchers from sea carriers, the United States today may well count on success.
Likely scenario:
1. During the threatened period, NATO will control the waters of the probable patrolling of the SSBNs of the Russian Federation by anti-submarine forces with the sole purpose of destroying our strategists at the start of hostilities. At the same time, surface ships of the US Navy with missile defense missiles will also appear there, if it is assumed that the war will begin precisely with massive strikes against Russia's nuclear forces.
2. After short-term battles with the use of conventional weapons against Russian silo launchers, SSBNs in bases, communication centers with strategic nuclear forces, strategic aviation airfields, nuclear weapons arsenals, over-the-horizon surveillance radars of the PRN system, everyday (unprotected) command posts and launchers included in the control system of the strategic nuclear forces of the Russian Federation , 2000-2500 Tomahawk missiles in non-nuclear equipment will be struck. The shelling can last from 2-3 to 5-6 hours.
3. After an attempt to negotiate a surrender on Russia, a massive nuclear “disarming” and “decapitation” strike will be delivered by 150-200 blocks of W76-1 / Mk4 Trident II D5 SLBMs and up to 100 Tomahawk nuclear missile launchers, which will have to destroy the remaining strategic potential of the Russian Federation and its management system. Simultaneously or with some delay, the main groupings of the RF Armed Forces, industrial and administrative-political centers will be subjected to a massive attack in order to finally destroy our country as a geopolitical entity. In total, up to 80% of the American nuclear potential can be spent on this first strike. Its total duration will be up to two hours.
4. After the results are revealed, concentrated, group and single nuclear strikes will be delivered against elements of the strategic nuclear forces and strategic forces of the RF Armed Forces that have retained their combat capability, with the simultaneous destruction of the surviving SSBNs by anti-submarine forces.
The natural question is: are our strategic nuclear forces capable of providing nuclear deterrence and prevent unacceptable losses? Leading Russian military experts and the Ministry of Defense answer: yes. Let's figure it out.
What's in the nuclear bins
Russia has approximately 1,800 nuclear warheads on 508 strategic launchers, as well as 2,000 tactical nuclear weapons. At the beginning of 2017, the Strategic Missile Forces had about 300 launchers of ICBMs, including 46 heavy R-36M2 "Voevoda", about 30 ICBMs UR-100N UTTKh, 72 PGRK RT-2PM "Topol", 60 RT-2PM2 "Topol-M" ( silo-based), 78 PGRK RS-24 "Yars" and 18 more such silo-based missiles. In total, up to 1000 warheads can be located on the ICBM of the Strategic Missile Forces, of which up to 400 belong to the middle class (500-750 kt), the rest - to the small class (within 100-150 kt). The Russian Navy has 10 combat-ready SSBNs. Among them, 5 - pr. P-30 "Mace" (48 launchers). In total, submarine strategists can carry up to 700 nuclear warheads, mostly of small caliber - up to 100 kt.
Russia's strategic aviation has 32 combat-ready Tu-95MS bombers (each can carry 6 Kh-555 nuclear missiles) and 14 Tu-160 (12 Kh-555). In the tactical arsenal - up to 500 missiles with nuclear warheads, up to 500 missile defense systems and air-to-surface missiles (mostly relatively old DA missiles with a firing range of 300-400 km) and about 500 nuclear warheads of the Navy, including for anti-ship missiles DB in nuclear equipment and SLCM "Granat". The rest is the warheads of tactical missiles RVIA SV, as well as nuclear bombs.
Launchers of ICBMs of the Strategic Missile Forces are located in 11 position areas of three missile armies, SSBNs have the 5th Naval Base of the Northern Fleet and the Pacific Fleet, and strategic aviation is based on three airfields. In total - 19 regions and objects based on our strategic nuclear forces. Not much, and with the outbreak of hostilities, they will become the primary targets of strike. However, at the beginning of the threatened period, the Strategic Missile Forces PGRK and most of the SSBNs will be dispersed into combat mission areas. It is more difficult with strategic aviation - it needs first-class airfields with a large runway and the necessary infrastructure. There are few such people in Russia, all of them will be the targets of the first strikes.
The network of command posts from which strategic nuclear forces can be controlled is sufficiently developed and has good fortification and constructive protection. In addition, there is the Perimeter system, which allows you to deliver a retaliatory nuclear strike against the aggressor even with the complete destruction of the strategic nuclear forces. So in this regard, we can assume that everything is in order - thanks to the USSR. But there are problems with bringing information to the SSBNs in combat mission areas. There are only a few communication nodes, and they are quite vulnerable even to conventional weapons, especially their antenna fields. And the PRN system cannot be recognized as having good combat stability - over-the-horizon surveillance radars are very vulnerable even to a non-nuclear WTO.
Do not think that only Russia has these problems. In the US, the situation is even worse - they do not have the "Perimeter" system.
Your word, comrade "Perimeter"
How feasible are the capabilities of the existing arsenals? Consider the options for the development of the situation.
The first- the most favorable for us: after revealing the preparation of the United States for an atomic attack on Russia, a preemptive nuclear strike against the United States and its allies to destroy their strategic nuclear forces and economic potential. In this case, almost all warheads will reach the targets of destruction, and the United States will cease to exist. A strike of 800-900 BBs (the rest will go to military infrastructure facilities) in the most densely populated areas will cause huge casualties - up to 30-40 million people immediately after the strike and about twice as many within six months or a year. At the same time, the United States, having a developed PRN system, will be quite able to deliver a retaliatory nuclear strike with most of its arsenal.
However, such a development of events should be considered rather improbable.
Firstly, timely, objectively and reliably revealing the preparations for a nuclear attack by the United States will be very difficult, if not impossible. There will always be doubt and a desire to resolve the crisis through negotiations, in the extreme case, to get by with non-nuclear forces.
Secondly, the threat of a retaliatory or even retaliatory nuclear strike (in the United States, the main nuclear potential is located on SSBNs, which are still invulnerable to our fleet, so the retaliatory strike will be only 40-45 percent weaker than a preventive one) will inflict monstrous damage to Russia, especially in people.
Thirdly in order to decide on such an action, even if it is objectively necessary, the leader and his team must have the appropriate psychological readiness.
Fourth, and this is the main thing, our elite is connected with the West spiritually and materially - there are capitals, real estate, other assets, children, relatives. hit them nuclear weapons? Finally, we must not forget that the "fifth column" of the West is still extremely influential in our political leadership. So they will try to delay the adoption of a fatal decision as much as possible, even if the need is obvious.
Second option: a preemptive nuclear strike is carried out when the enemy destroys our SSS ( strategic forces deterrence) with conventional weapons. It is assumed that Russian leadership decided that from the moment of the defeat of at least several elements of our SSS, in particular - one SSBN or ICBM launcher, strategic aviation airfield, Russia inflicts a massive nuclear strike on the enemy with all strategic nuclear forces. This is also quite a favorable option for our country. The enemy will neutralize only a small part of our nuclear potential - no more than 10-12 percent. The consequences of such a strike for the United States would be just as catastrophic as in the first option. However, the threat of an inevitable retaliatory or retaliatory strike remains. The "elite" factor does not disappear anywhere either. The scenario can be considered possible, but unlikely.
Third option: delivering a retaliatory nuclear strike. It can be used, according to various estimates, from 40-50 to 70-75 percent of Russia's nuclear potential. The consequences for the US will also be catastrophic. Targets will be achieved from 700-900 to 1300-1400 warheads, of which the main part will hit economic targets and administrative-political centers - it is pointless to hit empty ICBM launchers and exhausted command posts.
For the United States and Russia, an exchange of blows in this case would be catastrophic. Our losses within six months or a year will be up to 100 million people, American losses will be almost three times as much. In fact, the United States will be left without a population. However, the "elite" factor, the direct sabotage of certain influential figures from the "fifth column" makes this option only very likely in the event of a nuclear attack on Russia.
Fourth option: retaliatory nuclear strike. In this scenario, the goals in the United States will be able to reach, according to various estimates and with various conditions, from 16-18 to 25-30 percent of the original number of Russian warheads. A quarter of the PGRK and 2-4 SSBNs will survive and launch their BR. Part of the BB will hit the US military infrastructure, but the main hit will be on economic facilities and administrative and political centers - in total from 200-250 to 350-400 warheads. A significant, but not all, part of the American economy will be destroyed, 20-25 million people will die, including 8-9 million immediately after the strike.
Russia could withstand such damage and survive as a state. USA - hardly, the population is too corrupted, society and every person is atomized, locality, county, state will strive to survive at any cost, including at the expense of a neighbor or isolation from more unfortunate fellow citizens. The establishment will finally and irrevocably lose control of the country.
Based on a combination of factors, this option must be recognized as the most probable in a nuclear war with the United States.
At the same time, the “elite” factor will no longer work - the awakened instinct of self-preservation will interfere, and the military command will give the command to strike. At least he will say his word "Perimeter". It must be emphasized that for the United States, despite the fact that their losses will be much less than ours, this option will also prove fatal.
