The first thaws in spring. When will spring come? Signs and signs of spring

"Nature's clear smile
Through a dream meets the morning of the year ... "*
(A.S. Pushkin)

So - Spring, let the calendar for now. Favorite poems from childhood. A poet who is in our lives FOREVER!

The first days of March are counted in different ways. Calendar spring - March 1, phenological - the appearance of the first thawed patches and snowdrops, meteorological - during the passage average temperature air through zero degrees, astronomical - March 21, the day of the vernal equinox.

The long awaited March has finally come!!! March is a mischievous, prankster, with melting snow, stormy streams, the return of birds. The rooks are the first to fly to the still empty fields and forests, noisily welcoming the beautiful Spring that comes into its possession.

The name of the month came to our ancestors from Byzantium. The month "Martius" is named after Mars, the ancient Roman god of fields, crops and cattle breeding, later - the god of war.
In the old days, March was considered the first month of the year, the account changed at the beginning of the 15th century. The year began to count from September, and March was the seventh month. Since 1700, he has become the third!

Have you noticed the sadness of the trees pulling their branches - hands to the sun, praying for warmth and light, for the possibility of a new life, Just a little bit more and the first thin, gently green leaves will appear and the trees will speak, begin their new song, the song of the rebirth of life, which they will sing us until late autumn, and we will listen with pleasure and hope and believe that Happiness will happen this spring. It does not matter how our Happiness will look like, the main thing is that it will happen. Maybe this is the first bouquet of lilies of the valley, maybe the first kiss, maybe the birth of a new life, maybe a meeting that will change your life.

Grass, very delicate in color, hatches on the thawed patches, which is simply scary to step on: suddenly the thin stems under the soles crunch and fall backwards on the ground with crumpled leaves and no longer get up, no matter how the Red Sun, which is already high above the horizon, beckons them to this action , almost at its zenith, scans the Earth to find shaded areas with unmelted snow.

History first. Snowdrop

Graceful, delicate, thin, but at the same time unusually bold and strong, these flowers. They are the first to courageously enter into combat with winter, appearing among the snows.
They say that if you listen well, you can hear the ringing of these little bells, which seem to wake up other flowers from hibernation.

The first thawed patches, the first spring smell that is born in the air, the first warmth of the sun's rays warming the earth, the first flower, whose image is always full of secrets and mysteries. The snowdrop is one of the very first heralds of the end of winter. The British call it a snow drop or a snow earring. For the French and Italians, the snowdrop plays the role of a snow drill. The Czechs call it a snowflake, and the Germans call it a snow bell. The Bulgarians gave the winter-defying plant the nickname "badass".

There is a belief that the snowdrop is not only the first spring Flower, but also the first flower in nature. This is proved by a legend that tells the story of the first people on earth. When Adam and Eve sinned, an angry God drove the people out of paradise. Winter then reigned in the world: it was snowing, there were very coldy. Fierce February with its cold doused the tender body of a woman, prickly snow burned bare feet, and everything around was gloomy, deserted and lifeless. Eva could not stand the cold cold and began to cry. As a consolation, the angel turned a few snowflakes into delicate but persistent white snowdrops so that these fragile flowers would give hope for a bright and joyful future.

From the blog of Irina Palkevich. Thank you, Ira.

Grayling continues to peck on non-freezing or partially freezing rivers. On baited places, near permanent sites, you can catch scavengers and roach at night - in the first hours of darkness and before dawn. When fishing with a float rod, they take bloodworms, bark beetles, shitiks and worms.

For night fishing, you need a lantern and shelter - a tent, a hut or a snow house. In the rivers, white fish, especially large ones, avoid lit places in sunny weather, keep areas shaded by steep banks, bushes, trees and snowdrifts.

If you are too lazy to look for fish,

you will spend a day without a bite!

Pike, pike perch and large perch are caught with winter vents and bottom fishing rods, as well as large and medium baubles. Perch continues to be caught by sheer lure on small baubles. At depths up to 4 m, perch, ruff and roach peck well at small and medium-sized mormyshkas with the bait of bloodworms, eyes, small worms, bark beetles, shitik and mormysh. At depths of more than 4 m, float rods with the same baits catch white bream and bream, and bream are caught.

Improves the results of lure by replanting a lure or an additional leash of various baits on the hook - fry, a piece of fish, eyes and skin of white fish. In large reservoirs with a gradually lowering water level, perch in mild winters takes no worse than in first ice. Sometimes his bite even improves.

Get on your skis-

fishing will get closer!

Blizzards and snowdrifts complicate the situation of fishing on ice. Fish in many reservoirs at this time almost do not eat. Occasionally there are catches of perch and roach on mormyshka, grips of pikes on live bait, and only a ruff pecks tolerably on bloodworms, worms and eyes when fishing on floats, fishing rods, as well as on medium mormyshkas with the same baits.

All fish try to stay deep, but sometimes they stand high above the bottom, and sometimes they go to the shallows due to a lack of oxygen in the water.

There is no steady bite, it all depends on the state of the weather, right choice places and skills of the fisherman.

Don't go to someone else's hole-

bey.

The bite of perch, roach, pike, pike perch, silver bream and bream begins to revive. The bite of the ruff is getting stronger. After spawning, it takes burbot again.

On large lakes and reservoirs, the fish becomes more mobile, perch more often keeps to underwater hills among the depths. The smaller the area of ​​such a shallow, the better the bite on it, but the fish always occupies one of the slopes of the shallow and usually stands against the current.

The roach moves towards the shore, begins to enter the deep mouths of the tributaries, often rises in the middle of the water. The perch also rises high above the bottom, sometimes to the very edge of the ice.

With early and prolonged thaws, bream begins to be caught more often. For catching it, it is better to use two mormyshkas or float fishing rods baited from a bunch of dung worms, bark beetles or bloodworms; he comes across a bottom fishing rod with a nod to the same bait. Bait is needed, but better bait.

Gustera masses enter the deep mouths of rivers flowing into large reservoirs. Stays at the bottom.

The bite of pike perch for fry and bait with the bait of a piece of fish or skin begins to improve. It begins to appear near the coast and in the shallows with depths of 3–4 m.

The sun is getting hotter and stronger, and even on a cloudy day trickles run under the melting snow. On ice under wet snow or a crust of ice that has frozen over overnight, there is water.

Gradually, day after day, melt water makes its way under the ice cover of reservoirs. Fully saturated with oxygen, it awakens the fish from their winter stupor. Perch, pike perch, pike, ruff, roach, silver bream and bream are the first to come to life.

The fish begins to rise from the bottom, striving for trickles of melt water. Suitable for cool northern shores, goes to the mouths of the tributaries and enters the flowing oxbow lakes. The beginning of such an awakening is evidenced by the first captures of large perches with small leeches on their heads.

At first, ice fishing improves on large deep rivers and large flowing water bodies. With the appearance of gullies at the mouths of tributaries, fish approach them, but first they stand under the ice. Having got used to the light, she begins to go out into the open water and has been adhering to well-lit, well-warmed places all spring. The ide and pike are the first to come out into the open water. Having inhaled, the fish begins to search for food, seeking to reward itself after a winter hunger strike.

Before the destruction of the ice cover, fish are caught with winter gear. With the advent of mouth gullies, anglers begin to use summer float and wire rods, as well as spinning. You need a boat to successfully fish in the gullies. As soon as the ice on lakes and reservoirs disappears, heat-loving fish begin biting in open water of shallow bays in sunny weather and even with a temporary appearance of the sun from behind the clouds, but in the morning the biting is worse than in the afternoon and early evening.

With a significant drop in the level of the flood and the beginning of the clarification of the water on the rivers, fishing with summer gear begins. It is better to start with fishing in wiring and on a bottom fishing rod on rivers and on a float fishing rod - on lakes and reservoirs. In the spring, until the reservoirs begin to overgrow with algae, fishing with circles, a path and spinning is good. The best bite is in warm, clear, calm weather or with a warm breeze.

Spring allows you to do without bait and complementary foods. Hungry fish are always on the move - first to spawning grounds, and then in search of feeding grounds for summer camps; bait and complementary foods almost do not detain her in place, therefore, they lose their former significance.

The first ice is dangerous

and the latter is doubly so!

Roach, silver bream and perch bite well on small and medium-sized mormyshkas, they are caught with float rods baited with bloodworms, worms and bark beetles. Ruff prefers half a worm on large and medium mormyshkas, takes small perch well by eye.

Significantly improved perch lure fishing. Fishing should be at sharp transitions of coastal slopes to depths, at exits to shallows and shallows, near bottom depressions near flooded quarries, ravines and channels; on the slopes of underwater hills near the mouths of clean rivers, on reservoirs it approaches the mouths of the rivers that feed it.

In the pits near the mouths of tributaries, the biting of zander improves. Pike willingly grabs small live bait on winter baits, catches fry, as well as medium baubles. Almost all fish begin to move from the depths to shallower places - to the shores.

More often there are captures of ide, chub, dace. Asp begins to fall for spinners. Kraspoperka becomes more active, it is caught among algae with mormyshka and float fishing rod. The biting of the burbot is intensifying.

For three spring months, nature has time to change beyond recognition. In March, she is just beginning to wake up from hibernation. The spring warmth is not enough to make the snow and ice blocks melt, but the air gradually warms up, preparing all living things for a gradual awakening, the first Cumulus clouds that still soar very high.

The most frequently encountered natural phenomena in spring:

Active snow melting starts in the first half of April. It is caused by the sun, which is already high enough above the horizon. The air around is filled with the murmur of streams, which can provoke the onset of floods - a clear sign of spring.

Fascinating and intimidating. The ice-bound rivers will not soon be able to get rid of their shackles, but as soon as the sun gains its strength, they will rebel and try to break the ice shell with their current. Sometimes the ice does not have time to melt, and jams form that can cause devastating floods. But if the rivers are opened correctly, and the ice is broken in several places at the same time, then serious consequences can be avoided.

The sun gradually fills the earth with its warmth, which reflects it and creates a prerequisite for the formation spring winds. While they are still weak and unstable, but the warmer it gets around, the more they move air masses. Such winds are called thermal, they are typical for this time of year.

Here and there the snow descends from the ground, forming inconspicuous thawed patches. They appear wherever the snow cover was thinnest. It is the appearance of thawed patches that indicates that winter has given up its rights, and a new season has begun. The first greenery quickly breaks through them, on them you can find the first spring flowers - snowdrops. Snow will lie in crevices and depressions for a long time, but on a hill it melts quickly, exposing islands of land under the warm sun.

They appear on trees in late April - early May. The grass has already broken through its green stems, and the trees are getting ready to put on green clothes. The leaves will bloom quickly and suddenly. Today you were glad that the buds were swollen, and tomorrow they are already flaunting a large leafy bud that will open just about. What a beautiful and joyful environment. The singing of birds is heard, the buzzing of the first bees and insects appears. Everything is awakening around and preparing for the celebration of the flowering of life.

At the end of May, the first thunderstorm can thunder. Still not so strong, but ardent. Heavy rains will finally do away with the spring mud and prepare the land for the start of the next season. The transition to summer will not be delayed for for a long time. This is the only seasonal gap that passes quickly and imperceptibly.

Bright flowering, lush greenery, warm air - all this suggests that summer will come into its own at the very a short time. In many areas of our country, according to local signs and beliefs, the end of spring symbolizes the appearance of the first mosquitoes. As soon as he buzzed over your ear, then that's it, summer has come.

The first spring month capricious and deceitful. So that Weather in March 2019 in Moscow will be very unstable. According to folk signs, December should have predicted it: frosts and a small amount of precipitation indicated a cloudy, but rather dry March. The beginning of the month will still please with the sun, but at night the temperature will still be below zero. Although Maslenitsa marks the transition to spring warmth, but on the 7th, when it will be celebrated, frost is expected after snow and rain in the first days of March. Women's holiday the next day, I think, will not be overshadowed by clouds covering the sky - the smiles of lovely ladies, whom men will begin to congratulate, will make it bright and joyful.

Who would not say anything, but in the spring in March it still smells. This is that unique freshness that anticipates the proximity of warmth and prosperity, in contrast to the dull autumn dampness and depressing winter slush. True, the real heat is far away, but it is ahead!

Snow will fall more than once. A little warmer, and it will be replaced by rain. Only eight days will be truly snowy and rainy. Much more trouble will be delivered by cold piercing winds that will blow from the north. The air temperature at night in the first half of the month will last from -5 to 0°C, then it will rise very slowly and +2°C can be expected at the end of March. During the day from 1 to 15, the warming will seem almost imperceptible - from -2 to + 4 ° C, and in the second half the air can warm up to + 8 ° C. But the heat, as they said, is fickle in March, and even in the last days snow will fall off every now and then: winter is very reluctant to give way to spring. Daylight hours will increase and reach 13 hours. In some places in the squares and parks on the thawed patches the first timid green grass will appear, they will sound louder bird voices, the willow will turn silver, and all these are the harbingers of the coming spring.

Folk omens. Weather in Russia

In the metropolis weather signs implicit - how to see them through the smog, hear them in the noise of cars? They are more visible in the fields, heard in the forests, where nothing prevents Mother Nature from speaking with those who love her in a special language. Of course, weather forecast in March 2019 in Russia cannot be the same in all its expanses. By the middle of the month, the southerners will be able to enjoy not only the emerald grass, but also the first flowers, and the northerners will at best wait for them at the end of April. AT middle lane By the 16th, summer is already judged: the clearer and warmer the day turns out to be, the warmer the summer is expected.

In the first days of March, rooks and starlings rush to the south of the country, sometimes trills of larks sound. But they do not promise warmth, but sonorous titmouse. Nature wakes up and renews itself - slowly, as if reluctantly, but more and more confidently. If on one of the warm days a urticaria butterfly suddenly flashes, then this means that Sun rays both the earth and the trunks of trees warmed deeper, along which life-giving juices rise to the very tops. On Alexei (on the 30th), stormy streams of water from the mountains mean the onset of truly warm days, and the swans will fly in - they will bring spring on white wings.

Folk signs predict that, despite all the machinations of winter, spring will still come on time.

Photo by Anton Zhuravkov.

For phenologists, spring is considered with the appearance of the first thawed patches, in the Moscow region this happens on average 18.03. For meteorologists - with a stable (5 days in a row) transition of the average daily temperature through +0 o.

In the Moscow region (according to A.N. Strizhev), this is celebrated on 03.04. And among the people, the beginning of spring comes with the massive arrival of rooks, "the rook flies, dragging spring on its tail." In the Moscow region, the average long-term date of the mass arrival of rooks is March 12, the earliest is March 7, 1920, and the latest is April 5, 1952.

It is noted that: early springs are worse than late ones. Early ones usually become protracted, warmings are interrupted by the return of cold weather. In late spring, the first summer months warmer, which is favorable for wildlife. Hence "Late spring will not deceive." Late springs are repeated more often, they come in early April.

The following periods (sub-seasons) are observed during spring: Snowmelt from 18.03 to 15.04 (29 days), Revitalization of spring from 15.04 to 06.05 (21 days), Spring peak from 07.05 to 21.05 (15 days), Foreboding from 22.05 to 10.06. (20 days).

Folk signs for the spring of 2017 "foretell":

Rainy autumn - will be a rainy spring. Last autumn on the territory of the Central zone of the European territory of Russia (ETR) was not rainy.

If the snow is applied early in the autumn, then the spring is early. There was no early snow.

If September is cold, it will snow in March. Last September was warm.

Long icicles - for a long spring. Already at the beginning of February (2017), icicles are long.

snowy winter- to a protracted spring and rainy summer. At the beginning of February, it can be argued that the winter was quite snowy.

If around the trees the edges of melting snow are steep - by a cold spring, flat - by a long spring. This February bye (on February 15) there are no melting circles near the trees at all, and the signs do not “say” anything about this.

The woodpecker knocks early (back in January) - to early spring. On 1 and on 02/10/2017 it does not knock yet.

23.07 . If last autumn a birch leaf begins to turn yellow from above - by early spring, and from below - by late. Early fall of foliage on trees (birch, maple, aspen) in autumn (last) - by early spring next year. At the beginning of August, yellow foliage had not yet appeared, but by August 10, yellow foliage had already appeared on many trees, and the trees began to drop it, this is about 30 days before the average long-term period, which “hints” at early term the onset of spring.

7.10. Fekla-zarevnitsa. What is October (last), such is April. Until now, I have not had to evaluate in detail in the forecast the expected weather conditions of the next month (we have it in April), "based" on, say, ten-day weather conditions of the last month (we have October). Shall we try? The sign has become firmly established in the memory of the people for more than a dozen years.

So: first decade of April in areas north of the Yaroslavl-Tver-Pskov line, one can expect warm, with a predominance of variable cloudiness, mostly without precipitation. South of this line is also warm, with air temperatures of 10-12 degrees, but with a predominance of complete cloudiness and rain.

second decade months (according to the weather from October 7) throughout the ETR Center, signs “promise” mainly with cloudy cool weather at daytime air temperatures from +3 to +5 degrees.

Predicting the weather in last decade months in areas in the SW of the ETR zone (southwest of the Bryansk-Smolensk-Pskov line, cloudy weather with rains and an air temperature of + 2- + 3 degrees should be expected, and in the rest of the territory to the NW of this line cloudy weather can only come towards the end decades, and before that it will stand warm weather with partly cloudy (2-4 points of cloudiness) and without rain.

Well, and even if the weather forecasts for April in these areas do not come true, the omens are to blame and it remains only to advise for the marked areas in the next 50 (at least) years to develop new omens.

8.11. Dmitriev day. grandfather's week . If November 8 is cold and snowy, spring is late and cold, and if there is a thaw, winter and spring are warm. If Dmitriev's day is in the snow, then the holy (Easter) is in the snow, and Dmitriev's day is in the goal, and the saint is in that. The weather of that day was formed by an extensive but not deep cyclone with two systems of atmospheric fronts. Overcast weather prevailed everywhere - full cloudiness of 10 points, in many places of the zone precipitation in the form of sleet or rain was observed, in some places moderate or strong with temperatures of the SW line Moscow - Smolensk about 0 o, and to the north of this line air temperatures were from -6 o to -8 o.

November 9. Note what the weather is like in November, and so is May. It can be concluded that, in general, the weather of the month can be assessed as the usual long-term average. It can be expected that in May 2017 the weather will be average, or rather “average long-term”, which both gardeners (dacha residents) and fishermen are looking forward to with impatience and hope.

14.11.Kuzma-Demyan. A snowy day promises a big flood next spring. Snowfalls were observed everywhere in ETR. Let's wait for the big flood in the spring.

22.11. Matryona winter . Cloudy, snowy weather predicts a rainy May, frost - an oat harvest, rain - wheat. On Matryona, we have established weather with a predominance of small (up to 1-3 points), in some places variable (up to 4 points) cloudiness and air temperatures down to 3-5 degrees below zero. May rainy is not expected.

December 11th. The snow is deep - the year is good. “A lot of snow - a lot of bread. Water will spill - hay will be typed. Snowy winter portends good growth herbs.

26.12. Evgeniy. From that day on, the weather was observed for 12 days, considering that each day will show the weather of one month of the next year: December 26 - corresponds to January; February 27; March 28, etc. before Christmas (new style), which will indicate the weather in December of the new year. Those. December 29 - April, December 30 - May.

28.12. The day will "show" what it will be March. The central zone of ETR was occupied by the rear part of (yesterday's) cyclone, which shifted to the southeast in a day. The entire sky was covered with dense clouds. In the regions of Tver and Smolensk, in the zone of the secondary cold front, snowfalls were observed, sometimes heavy, the wind from the north-west, 2-4 m/s, the air temperature remained around 0 degrees everywhere.

29.12.The day "predicts" what to expect April. By the morning of December 29, the crest of the anticyclone, oriented from the southwest (from Poland) to Tver, shifted to the place of the hollow. To the north of the line Pskov - Moscow, the weather was determined by the approaching hollow with a warm atmospheric front located in it, full cloudiness was observed everywhere with snowfalls and light wind and air temperature from -3 to +1 degrees. To the south, under the influence of the anticyclone crest, it was clear or slightly cloudy without precipitation, western wind 2-4 m/sec, temperature minus 2-3 degrees. Such weather in ETR remained until the end of the day.

30.12..The day shows what will be May. By the morning of December 30, a system of atmospheric fronts moved from the northwest to ETR. This frontal zone for the whole day caused dense clouds over the central regions of the ETR.

Heavy and torrential precipitation (snow, wet snow, rain with heavy snowfalls and showers (strong in some places), with light southwesterly winds. And the air temperature field “divided” into two zones: to the north of the Yaroslavl-Pskov line, the air temperature remained positive from +1 to +2 degrees, to the south of this line it was negative from -1-3 o in the Moscow region, but to the south it became colder to - 5 near Kursk.

In January March, in March - January. January in ETR was somewhat warmer than the multi-year average. March will be warm.

January 6. If it is warm on Christmas Eve, the spring will be cold. The weather of that day was influenced by three baric systems: southeast of the Moscow-Smolensk line, the weather was determined by the rear part of the hollow (which "gave" us warm weather with precipitation on December 31).

To the north of the St. Petersburg-Pskov line, the weather was influenced by a (new) hollow approaching from the NW with a warm atmospheric front, although the front was quite far away. In both zones, total cloudiness was observed, snowfalls of extensive and showery character. But in the "strip" between the boundaries of these zones, cloudy weather with weak winds prevailed. The air temperature in all three zones was from 17-18 to 26-28 degrees below zero.

7.01.Nativity. Christmas this year fell on Saturday, and according to the “Kolyadnik” (manuscript of the 17th century): “And if it’s Christmas on Saturday, the winter is windy, the fruit is scarce for good, the spring is dry, spring and summer are wet.

24.01. Fedosey-Vesnyak . Fedoseevo heat - on early spring gone. The warm days of January respond unkindly. The sickly winter is alive. We didn't have any special Fedoseev warmth that day. Under the influence of the cyclone trough with cold atmospheric fronts, the weather was cloudy all day with snowfalls, weak westerly winds and temperatures from +2 to -2 in the south of the ETR zone and up to -5 and -8 degrees in the north of the zone in the St. Petersburg region. Such air temperatures for the end of January can still be considered, albeit relative, but still warm. It seems that early spring should not be expected.

Tatiana. The sun will peep at Tatyana - to the early arrival of birds. Early sun, early birds. The sun will peep through - by an early and friendly spring. Over our territory of the ETR on this day the weather was determined by the trough of the cyclone, the center of which was in the morning southeast of Kursk.

The section of the cold front associated with this cyclone had already passed Kursk by 9 o'clock, but in the rear of the front, as is usually the case behind a cold front, snowfalls were observed, sometimes heavy. Heavy snowfalls were also observed in St. Petersburg and Novgorod. Here they were associated with a secondary cold front. And in the areas located between these two zones with fronts and snowfalls, the weather was observed with a small (or variable) cloudiness without precipitation, with air temperatures of about -11 degrees.

This weather continued until the end of the day. It must be assumed that the birds also need warmth, and therefore they will not bring early spring on their wings.

26.01.The first "chi-chi-fi" of the great tit herald early spring. The first "chi-chi-fi" in this and the coming days after, I did not hear.

31.01. Athanasius Lomonos, Cyril. At noon the sun - early spring. Over the north of the considered regions of the ETR, the weather was determined by the wide hollow of the northern cyclone. In the hollow there was a cold front with precipitation and cloudy weather. To the south of the Yaroslavl-Novgorod line, the weather of this section of the ETR territory was determined all day by the anticyclone crest, located in the southwest outside the zone under consideration.

Here, at all points, variable (less than 5 points, i.e., half the sky) cloudiness was noted. With so many clouds (cloudiness) at one point or another, it was quite possible to see the flashing sun at noon.

But, as I believe, it would be incompetent in this one point to expect an early spring, relying on the "promise" of a folk omen. We will assume that at noon the sun did not peep through the ETR and there is no need to hope for early spring.

1.02. Makariev day. What is the weather on the first day, so is the whole of February. Clear sunny Makariev day - early spring. If drops - believe in early spring. If there is a snowstorm on Macarya, then on the whole Maslenitsa. Baric systems on that day also “divided” our territory into two zones: northeast of the Kaluga-Novgorod line, the depression of the northeast cyclone with a cold atmospheric front dominated, and over the territory located southwest of this line, the crest of the southern anticyclone dominated.

In the zone of influence of the hollow with the front, there was cloudy weather with heavy snowfalls and light winds, which makes it possible to speak of a general blizzard. Air temperatures are about -5 o. And in the southwest, outside the Kaluga-Novgorod line, partly cloudy weather prevailed, without precipitation, light winds and temperatures from -5 to -10 degrees. Only in the north, near St. Petersburg, it was warmer during the daytime, about -2 o.

2.02. Efimy. On Macarius and on Yefimiy there is a blizzard - the whole carnival is blizzard. On Efimiya at noon the sun is early spring. The second day of February shows spring: sunny - to the red spring, cloudy - wait for late snowstorms. To the east of the line Kursk - St. Petersburg, a rather extensive anticyclone "ruled" the weather. The sky was cloudy everywhere, which pleases with the promise of a "red" spring in these areas.

4.02. Timothy is a semi-winter. If the sun is visible on this day at noon, then spring will be early. On this day, in all parts of the ETR center, the sky was covered with clouds, and the sun did not break through.

6.02. Aksinya-half-winter, half-bread. What is Aksinya, such is spring. A bucket for a half-winter - spring is red. The weather remained cloudy all day long throughout the considered territory of the EPR, which makes it possible to expect a “red spring” throughout the entire territory of the EPR.

14.02. Tryphon. Starry on Tryphon, late spring. If many stars appear in the sky, then winter will stand still for a long time and spring will be late. The weather was determined by an extensive cyclone with a system of atmospheric fronts. The sky was covered with clouds everywhere, with snowfalls. There were no stars to be seen.

15.02. Candlemas. Sustretiev day (meeting of winter and spring). What is the weather like at the Candlemas, so will the spring be. On Candlemas Day snowball - in the spring dozhzhok. Snow sweeps across the road - it will be late spring, and if it does not sweep, then early. In the first half of the day, the weather in our area was “taken over” by a vast anticyclone ridge, the center of which was located over Germany. Everywhere it was partly cloudy from 0 to 3-4 cloud points, sunny and only in the areas of Bryansk, Orel and Kursk, cloudy weather with snow remained. The air temperature was 2-3 degrees below zero.

Such weather remained in the central zone of the ETR and for the whole day, only in the south, in Bryansk, Orel and Kursk, in the afternoon the weather changed, the number of clouds decreased, snowfalls stopped, due to the increased wind, low snowstorms began (snow sweeps across the road) .

So it's time to sum up . First, about spring in general: the first and most important prediction of all signs is that spring will definitely come, to everyone's joy. Moreover, the vast majority of signs (9 out of 14) “noted” that it would come normally, in the medium term.

Three signs “spoke out” for early spring, and only two of the signs timidly noticed that spring can also be protracted. In count cloudy days, precipitation and air temperature in the spring as a whole can also be expected to be normal. With the interpretation of the opinion, it will be more difficult for months, but we will try.

March signs "promised" cloudy, warm, but wet, and only one noticed that March would be normal in terms of precipitation.

April. If we follow strictly according to the "promises" of signs, then we must separately evaluate the northern and southern parts of the ETR territory we are considering. Approximate border of different weather conditions April will pass along the line Pskov - Moscow. In areas located north of this line, according to signs, April can be expected to be cloudy, or with a predominance of cloudy weather, with precipitation in the form of snow and rain with light winds and air temperatures around 0°C.

To the south of this line, the signs incline us to the fact that April can be expected to be cloudy, or no more than partly cloudy. No precipitation. With light southerly winds. In partly cloudy weather during the day, the sun will provide a warm comfortable temperature.

May. Evaluating Predictions folk signs it can be expected that during the whole month cloudy weather with clearings will prevail, only some days will be completely cloudy. The number of days with rain will be close to the normal, long-term number of days. Only on some days of the month you can expect dense clouds with heavy rains. Signs do not "promise" sharp differences in air temperature from normal (average long-term) values.

And the last, but, no longer from the opinion will accept. In 1996, Polish scientists from the University of Warsaw and the Institute of Meteorology and Water Management created a mathematical model for predicting weather anomalies for the coming 500years. And in 2005, a senior lecturer at the Bashkir Pedagogical University made a weather forecast for 100 years.

In both forecasts, the authors did not mention 2017. This allows us to assume that in current year no anomalous "gifts" of weather are expected, and a year will pass within the "framework" of the usual average long-term values ​​of the number of cloudy days, phenomena, air temperature, and wind.