Description: War Thunder is a next generation military MMO game dedicated to...
In the coming year, we are promised a frosty end of winter and a "tropical" summer - hot and with rain. This is the long-term weather forecast from the famous people's weather forecaster Leonid Gorban, writes "Today".
In his forecasts, Gorban is guided by the ancient method of the so-called "Bryusov calendar", in which weather calculations are carried out according to the numerical series of the planets and folk signs. (“Today” wrote about this in detail on January 15, 2016 - Auth.). The annual weather is ruled in turn by the Sun, the Moon and five planets: Mercury, Venus, Mars, Jupiter, Saturn. The past year was the year of the Sun, the coming year was the year of Venus, the next one will pass under the sign of Mercury.
As Gorban admits, the accuracy of the average forecast for the whole of Ukraine is approximately 75%, but for individual regions the probability of its calculations reaches 95%. In the past year, the people's weather forecaster, in particular, correctly predicted the February cold, a late but hot summer, and an early rainy autumn.
“The year of Venus is more wet than dry,” says Gorban. - Spring is expected to be cool and damp: cold March, and April and March will not be hot and dry either. Summer is humid and moderately warm. The years of Venus are fruitful for spike crops, but the danger is that during their harvest there are heavy rains, which are of a protracted nature, which leads to crop loss. Autumn is warm at first, then cold, frosts are possible already at the end of October. Winter is moderate, dry at first, then cold, very snowy, which will lead to a large flood of rivers.
Ukrgidromettsentr and climatologists, unlike Narodnik, argue that it is difficult to make even an approximate weather forecast, since it is influenced by many uncalculated factors, for example, solar activity, volcanic eruptions, and the behavior of the World Ocean. But they all admit that over the past 5-6 years, the weather, both in Ukraine and in the world, has become more unstable.
“2018 is expected to be an average year, possibly rainier than usual. As in the previous 2-3 years, due to global warming, frequent temperature changes are possible, especially in summer - hot weather will briefly change to cool, then heat again, thunderstorms again., - Anatoly Prokopenko, deputy head of the Ukrhydrometeorological center, analyzes.
Leading researcher at the Institute of Geophysics of the National Academy of Sciences of Ukraine Svetlana Boichenko explained to us that many factors are to blame for the increased "weather swings" that have become common over the past few years.
“There are several hypotheses why the weather is behaving strangely now. These are the processes of a long period on the Sun (not known 11-year, but 60-year cycles), and the intensification of volcanic activity, and the World Ocean, which either binds greenhouse gases, or releases them back into the atmosphere, this also reduces or increases temperature, Boychenko told us. - We have been conducting long-term studies of how the annual amplitude of the temperature variation has changed in Ukraine (between the lowest and highest temperatures. - Auth.).
It turned out that winters in Ukraine have become much warmer, but for some reason summers are not much hotter, if not cooler, than 20-25 years ago. But over the past 10 years, a summer climate anomaly has also begun to appear, summer is becoming hotter. It seems that due to global warming, which is superimposed by factors such as intensified volcanic eruptions, throwing clouds of ash into the atmosphere, the weather is unbalanced. But we expect the anomalies to subside after 2020. This process has already begun, and every year the temperature amplitudes are getting smaller, and by 2030 there will be no such sharp drops as we are now seeing.”
This year, in addition to sharp summer weather fluctuations, Boychenko promises strong but short-lived frosts in January and February.
What will autumn 2018 be like in Ukraine / facebook.com/kievtypical
Despite two Indian summers in autumn 2018, the first snow in Ukraine will fall without waiting for the calendar winter.
Weather for September-2018 in Ukraine
People's weather forecaster Leonid Gorban predicts that the "rainy season" in September could start on September 10 and last for about five days. After that, the first Indian summer will come (until September 25), and then a cold snap awaits the Ukrainians again.
Weather for October-2018 in Ukraine
The beginning of October will be warm and clear, Gorban promises. But such a meteorological idyll will not last long: already on October 3-4, violent storms with rains. The thermometers will drop to +8 degrees.
“Immediately after that, the second Indian summer with daytime temperatures up to +20 degrees and above. It will last a week,” Gorban said.
October 14 - Feast of the Intercession Holy Mother of God- comes out dry. And from the second half of October, it is worth waiting for a cold snap and the first, short, frosts at night.
Weather for November-2018 in Ukraine
The weather in November 2018 in Ukraine will be damp: the rains will start from the first days of the month. And already on November 4-7 it is worth waiting for frost. In mid-November it will become dry and warm again, but from November 18 it will get colder in a winter way - and this weather will remain until the end of the month. Heavy snowfalls are forecast for November 27th.
Earlier, the people's weather forecaster predicted. Precipitation is expected at the end of the last month of summer, the expert noted.
According to other sources, it will fluctuate from +20-25 degrees in the west to +28-30 degrees in the south and southeast. In the central regions during the day the temperature will stay at +26-28 degrees.
